Features - Canada’s North on thin ice - The McGill Daily

Features

Canada’s North on thin ice

Geography professor urges solutions to address the palpable effects of climate change

By Maggie Knight
Published: 11/23/09

There’s no debate about the existence of climate change in the North. Ask any resident of Canada’s Arctic about how the climate has already changed, and you’ll get a barrage of stories. Janice Grey, a John Abbott College student raised in Nunavik, Quebec, notes, “Even in my short life, I have witnessed incredible changes in the environment in the North.”

“I live in an area where underneath is permanent permafrost and above it is marshland,” she continues. “There used to be berries, and because there were berries, there were always geese…but now that the permafrost underneath is cracking and melting, the marshlands are draining, so it looks a lot like a desert now…. Because of this we don’t get berries and we don’t have geese; the hunters have to go further and further to find food.”

These changes are common across the North. Whitehorse resident Sofia Fortin attests to the changes she has observed. “Rainy summers have become the norm, even though it never rained when I was young,” she says. “The snow comes later; it warms up earlier. We’ve had major flooding in our communities.”

“Last summer the caribou did not come to their traditional summering grounds so a whole community that depends on these animals for winter food had to depend on increased shipments of old, stale, and expensive food from the South,” says Fortin.

“The porch is beginning to crack off the foundation of my mother’s house,” says Grey, explaining that the foundation is built on a pyramid-shaped pillar in order to stop the heat from the house melting the permafrost. When the permafrost melts, the pillars are no longer flat on the ground and houses droop to one side. “People’s houses are going to be destroyed in a matter of years.”



These tangible impacts may not be the first things that come to mind when most southern Canadians think of climate change. Particularly during the lead-up to the UN Conference of the Parties climate negotiations in Copenhagen this December, much discussion has focused on carbon emission reduction targets – who has set them, who will achieve them, who should have bigger targets than others, who will pay for implementation, how much the economy might suffer, and so on.

The clamour to reduce carbon emissions has distracted Canadian researchers and governments from the need for adaptation in northern communities. While mitigating climate change by reducing carbon emissions is essential, Canada’s Arctic is already experiencing significant changes that affect the way communities can live on the land. Yet there is limited knowledge about how these communities can adapt and even less coordinated adaptation efforts.

The Arctic’s “adaptation gap” is the research focus of James Ford, assistant professor in McGill’s geography department

“The adaptation gap is the gap between what we need to know to help communities in the North adapt to climate change, and what we already know,” says Ford. “Adaptation research is 10 years behind mitigation research.

Early next year, the journal Global Environmental Change will publish Ford’s research, entitled “Climate change policy responses for Canada’s Inuit Population: The importance of and opportunities for adaptation,” completed with colleagues from Trent University, the University of Guelph, and Frank Duerden Consulting.

“We need a more comprehensive understanding of climate change vulnerability in the North. We have a baseline, but not the depth needed to produce truly adaptive, informed plans. The best knowledge currently concerns subsistence hunting, but we have a lot to learn in terms of health, food security, and business,” says Ford.

This lack of knowledge makes it difficult for governments and communities to create adaptation plans. “There is no real planning for climate change impacts at the territorial level. Consequently, current development is based on a stable climate and may be unsustainable in the face of climate change,” Ford explains. “For instance, infrastructure may be built on land that is vulnerable to rising sea levels or melting permafrost.”

Daniel T’seleie, a climate change planner for Ecology North, agrees that this lack of information poses immediate dangers. “There are no readily available regional predictions of climate change’s [effects that] different parts of the Northwest Territories may experience over the coming decades,” he explains. “We don’t really know exactly what we’re planning for…. We can’t assess risk if we don’t know the likelihood and frequency of a climate-related event.”



Subsistence hunters may be among the most threatened by climate change, but Ford stresses the importance of their knowledge of the land. “Traditional environmental knowledge (TEK) is a highly adaptive form of knowledge. It includes a body of skills – how to survive in the Arctic, how to anticipate hazards, how to build a snow shelter, how to tell if the ice is safe,” says T’seleie.

“Traditionally, people lived sustainable lives on the land. I think sustainable communities are a key element of adaptation, and we need to utilize TEK when we strive to achieve this goal.”

T’seleie adds that climate change has already started to affect Inuit means of transportation by shortening the season during which ice can safely be traversed, and by unpredictably altering water levels on barge routes. “Shipping prices will likely climb in the future as we rely more on air transport. Any action [that] isolated communities can take to produce food, goods, and energy locally is an adaptive strategy. So, promoting hunting and gardening can be considered adaptation as shipping prices climb. But local production is also a mitigative strategy. And, of course, if we want to hunt effectively we need TEK. So in many cases adaptation, mitigation, and TEK go hand-in-hand.”

The adaptability of the Inuit gives Ford hope that the adaptation gap can be bridged. “Inuit are not passive in the face of changing conditions. The subsistence hunting sector is learning how to modify their activities to ensure continued safe and successful hunting. This has always underpinned Inuit survival in the harsh and unforgiving Arctic.”

Young people, though, are not always as knowledgeable about the land, especially when economic circumstances attract them to Canada’s southern urban centres. “A lot of this knowledge and skill is not being passed on or developed among younger generations,” explains Ford. “Not only is this cultural loss, but it will also affect the ability of Inuit to adapt to climate change.”

Grey agrees that there needs to be more education about climate change among Inuit communities, but also believes that southern Canadians need to be less apathetic about the fate of northern communities. As part of the Arctic Team for the Canadian Youth Delegation to Copenhagen, she will be making sure that Canadian negotiators hear the concerns of people from Nunavik.



Ford’s research offers insight into opportunities to reduce Inuit vulnerability to climate change and increase adaptive capacity.

“Solutions are relatively simple and can be implemented within existing programs, [for example, by] developing land training programs to complement more formal schooling. That’s the beauty of many adaptations – we don’t need lengthy complex negotiations to develop policy response, we just need to do things better today.

“Compared to previous meetings of the Conference of the Parties where it was all about mitigation, adaptation is clearly on the agenda for Copenhagen. Adaptation is creeping up the agenda because it has to: we are now experiencing the effects of climate change.”



You can learn more about Ford’s research at arctic-north.com/JamesPersonalWebsite/.


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Comments

From Nunavut wrote:

I totally agree with Ms Grey. However, here in Sanikiluaq, Nunavut at the Heart of Hudson Bay our climate has drastically changed. Right now just a week before December we have no snow. We thought snow was starting to build up in the middle of October. But it kept raining and temperature very mild so the snow kept melting. It's the weirdest season I have noticed so far. In summer we get as hot as up to 32 even for good 2 weeks and again that is unusual. If you are curious ask anyone in Sanikiluaq.

Nov 24, 2009 at 09:25 AM


Sholom Hoffman wrote:

As the hacked emails reveal, this whole man-made global warming involves fudged facts and numbers. The earth now is going through a warming period, yes, but it will be followed soon by a cooling one. We must remember that when the dinosaurs were on earth, the planet was much hotter and this was not because dinosaurs had coal mines and factories.

Yes there are changes in the weather, but this is natural and is not abnormal. Ask any climatologist. It is because of the sun and its periods of activity.

Nov 26, 2009 at 09:35 PM


Jonathan Glencross wrote:

"As the hacked emails reveal, this whole man-made global warming involves fudged facts and numbers."

1)I'm so glad your comfortable drawing conclusions the entire planet based on a few emails of one group of scientists bad decisions. YEAH!! 3 decades of peer reviewed research down the drain because of this? I think not. Is it important to revisit their calculations? Yes. Does is disprove the three decades of peer reviewed work and modeling of other scientists which do not use their calculations? No. So don't make it seem that way.

"The earth now is going through a warming period, yes, but it will be followed soon by a cooling one." 2)Last time I checked climatologists didn't like writing prophecies. So once again, don't frame something out of context like this - no one will take you seriously.

Nov 29, 2009 at 03:35 PM


Sholom wrote:

Jonathan, these scientists are not merely one group of scientists but represent an arm of the IPC. Moreover, John Holdren is one of Obama's Director of Science and Technology. So we are not just talking about some insignificant group of scientists. As is evident, these scientists help make UN policy that influences world policy. Finding out that the data that the UN uses to push world policies is fraudelant is of big concern.

Many scientists, even John Holdren himself 20 years before, wrote that we will be going through a cooling phase as well as many others including Patrik Michaels, one of the people threatened to be beaten up in one of these emails.

You also mention that such emails should not dismiss 30 years of research. I see how it could not, saying how they have been working with many top universities for years now. Moreover, a couple of these emails even show how they have been pushing out skeptics from peer-reviewed journals for a very long time.

Jonathan, I can tell that you are an ardent believer in Gore's religion of man-made Global warming and are not distresed about this scandal, which should be taken serious given how much influence these scientists have on the UN.

Nov 29, 2009 at 06:17 PM


Sholom Hoffman wrote:

Typo: 3rd paragraph second sentence: I don't see how it could not.

Nov 29, 2009 at 06:31 PM


Sholom Hoffman wrote:

Just to add a further point that this does discredit all research on man-made global warming is something that Time recently published on article, "Climate change data dumped". Under the freedom of information act, scientists at the University of East Anglia, a branch of the UN's IPC, have thrown away all their raw data accumulated for many years.

Nov 29, 2009 at 10:16 PM


Sholom Hoffman wrote:

These scientists are also part of the CRU, which is like NASA. they are not just some insignificant group of scientists.

Nov 29, 2009 at 10:23 PM


Jonathan Glencross wrote:

I never said anything about Al Gore. Don't put words behind my arguments, or ideals behind my responses. That just shows that you can only discount my arguments by associating me with some group who you clearly have an agenda to dismount. Why are you so eager to pick sides, make rash conclusions and insults, an to polarize debate on very complex issue?

"this does discredit all research on man-made global warming"

Totally unreasonable. The point I made above was that everyone agrees that the scientific community (not you or me) needs to revisit this group of scientists data, because they have been involved internationally. The scientific community will also need to revisit the source/methods/context of all those emails so that people like you cannot overstate the consequences before the story is clear.

The scientific community has not and will reach their conclusion on this situation in the reactionary way you have. They will examine the entire situation in the context in which it arose and implications it had on the scientific conclusions and political decisions we have made to date (if any). Your above statement, that all anthropogenic climate change research is completely discredited, is not the consensus of any with exception to those who have other reasons for ending the debate before it is over. I could associate you with those groups, but that would be unfair and reactionary of me. So I'll just hope your aspiring to find the truth like the rest of us.

Do us all a favor and stop framing this discussion.

Dec 4, 2009 at 12:23 PM


Jonathan Glencross wrote:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2007/mar/11/broadcasting.science

Dec 4, 2009 at 11:34 PM


Jonathan Glencross wrote:

Here is the group from Nature making this point:

On the scientific case for global warming:

To...denialists, the scientists' scathing remarks about certain controversial palaeoclimate reconstructions qualify as the proverbial 'smoking gun': proof that mainstream climate researchers have systematically conspired to suppress evidence contradicting their doctrine that humans are warming the globe. [But] nothing in the e-mails undermines the scientific case that global warming is real — or that human activities are almost certainly the cause. That case is supported by multiple, robust lines of evidence, including several that are completely independent of the climate reconstructions debated in the e-mails.

On the implications for the IPCC, it says:

In one of the more controversial exchanges, UEA scientists sharply criticized the quality of two papers that question the uniqueness of recent global warming (S. McIntyre and R. McKitrick Energy Environ. 14, 751–771; 2003 and W. Soon and S. Baliunas Clim. Res. 23, 89–110; 2003) and vowed to keep at least the first paper out of the upcoming Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Whatever the e-mail authors may have said to one another in (supposed) privacy, however, what matters is how they acted. And the fact is that, in the end, neither they nor the IPCC suppressed anything: when the assessment report was published in 2007 it referenced and discussed both papers.

On Nature's own peer-review process:

The stolen e-mails have prompted queries about whether Nature will investigate some of the researchers' own papers. One e-mail talked of displaying the data using a 'trick' — slang for a clever (and legitimate) technique, but a word that denialists have used to accuse the researchers of fabricating their results. It is Nature's policy to investigate such matters if there are substantive reasons for concern, but nothing we have seen so far in the e-mails qualifies.

http://blogs.nature.com/climatefeedback/

Dec 5, 2009 at 02:02 PM


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